Stimulus-Stupidity

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0408 112 001

  • Failed Stimulus again
  • If Christ Came to Sydney
  • Repairing Corona Hits
  • 2020 Budget Hit on Josh
  • Murray/Gibbons Solutions
  • OECD Josh was wrong
  • Berejiklian's Murray Crap
  • Fires = rorts = stimuless
  • PM's chains on NCCC
  • Riverina Lessons
  • Housing Stimulus Blues
  • Pollies & Miscreants
  • History via Hartcher
  • Berejiklian cons
  • Morrison's Moral Abyss
  • Leonard to stop kid kills
  • Trump trumps Australia
  • Costs of stupid recusals
  • Dan Andrews
  • More
    • Failed Stimulus again
    • If Christ Came to Sydney
    • Repairing Corona Hits
    • 2020 Budget Hit on Josh
    • Murray/Gibbons Solutions
    • OECD Josh was wrong
    • Berejiklian's Murray Crap
    • Fires = rorts = stimuless
    • PM's chains on NCCC
    • Riverina Lessons
    • Housing Stimulus Blues
    • Pollies & Miscreants
    • History via Hartcher
    • Berejiklian cons
    • Morrison's Moral Abyss
    • Leonard to stop kid kills
    • Trump trumps Australia
    • Costs of stupid recusals
    • Dan Andrews

0408 112 001

Stimulus-Stupidity

Stimulus-StupidityStimulus-StupidityStimulus-Stupidity
  • Failed Stimulus again
  • If Christ Came to Sydney
  • Repairing Corona Hits
  • 2020 Budget Hit on Josh
  • Murray/Gibbons Solutions
  • OECD Josh was wrong
  • Berejiklian's Murray Crap
  • Fires = rorts = stimuless
  • PM's chains on NCCC
  • Riverina Lessons
  • Housing Stimulus Blues
  • Pollies & Miscreants
  • History via Hartcher
  • Berejiklian cons
  • Morrison's Moral Abyss
  • Leonard to stop kid kills
  • Trump trumps Australia
  • Costs of stupid recusals
  • Dan Andrews

PM Morrison hits a brick wall on 23 July

Plagiarism

Better ideas - vouchers

Better ideas - vouchers

Elements of 23 July will be based on theft of IP if the PM remains evasive, this is a moral stain

Better ideas - vouchers

Better ideas - vouchers

Better ideas - vouchers

PM cannot use employer-issued vouchers and the auxiliary arrangements I put in correspondence and this website.  Frydenberg is wrong on loans

Better ideas - NSIP etc

Better ideas - vouchers

Better ideas - pensioners & JobKeeper

NCCC remains in a suspended state, with 4 overly-simple guidances, and cannot move effectively to a regional revival model e.g Newcastle, Blue Mountains and Rockdale until my offer is accepted

Better ideas - pensioners & JobKeeper

Better ideas - pensioners & JobKeeper

Better ideas - pensioners & JobKeeper

PM cannot offer a 3rd supplement, with all the advantages it would offer, as it is in my 25 May suite.  


The involvement of LGAs on a UK/USA model is beyond NCCC, with further generalised JobKeeper schemes being questioned as opposed to the voucher alternative

Better ideas - tourism/ tech

Better ideas - pensioners & JobKeeper

Better ideas - tourism/ tech

Extra (c) elements on 25 May:

  • families and institutions using Zoom need 1) subsidies for download limits & costs, backdated, and 2) upgrades in homes and institutions
  • Best integrated stimulus is $2 billion for van parks for road and drainage upgrades but not under Nat wastrels 

Better ideas: OECD

Better ideas - pensioners & JobKeeper

Better ideas - tourism/ tech

Treasurer Frydenberg praised the OECD but did not understand it.  My two booklets explain the implications for Tourism (issued today) and generally - to be issued on 22 July.  


It is time the secretive, incompetent and dysfunctional Bubble is transformed into a dynamic and successful "Newcastle model", with journalists more receptive and engaged

frydenberg reveals more errors

Add $6.3 bn to $?!? bn

NCCC has to work within its parent CEO's framework, with attention being drawn to Mr Gaetjens' performance.


On 22 July '20 The Australian's Patrick Commins revealed that the Treasury calculated that $6.3 billion would have been "saved" if JobKeeper had been more cleverly crafted:  


  • a quarter of the 3.5 million recipients are receiving an average of $550 per fortnight more than before Coronavirus hit (this adds to waste in other streams of stimulus)
  • "number of features that create adverse incentives which may become more pronounced over time ..."


The Financial Review of the same date:


  • part-time employees could earn both JobSeeker and JobKeeper simultaneously
  • SMEs reliant on loan repayment deferrals pose a threat to recovery (the conditions have been loosened so that more SMEs will be encouraged to enter into loans)
  • Frydenberg has relaxed corporate reporting requirements against the regulator's advice


All media reported that the sporting club sector has lost c $1.6 billion and need stimulus support;  while further evidence of malpractice during the "sports rorts" saga has been uncovered.

Can Stimulus succeed under NCCC?

The National Covid-19 Coordination Commission was set up in a torrid and confused phase of a slapdash cascade of back-of-envelope guesses.  Its chairman was selected by ministers whose key advisers had been coal lobbyists.  The Chairman, Nev Strong, is a carbon operator without experience in high-end crisis management in state and regional revival.


Australia is in deep trouble getting deeper.

   

The GFC stimulus package in 2008-09 was largely based on the fast implementation of smaller jobs as well as a substantial boost to disposable incomes. It is said that current Coalition Governments are almost paranoid about being compared with then PM Rudd’s campaign albeit they adopted Rudd’s economic advisor as their own demigod.


The latest stimulus packages in themselves were born in crisis talks as this analyst was critiquing the Turnbull/Morrison/Frydenberg approaches step by step, indeed each of the latest stimulus packages were evidently based on my rejection of the previous one – there were no “eight days of number crunching” before the $130 billion catastrophe, just closed-door dinners and elevenses between the usual Bubble blunderers. 


The staccato nature of the incremental announcements indicated the lack of competence in the process and the increasing vulnerability to informed criticism.

  

Until this analyst started, there was no sign that regions were being considered except as locations containing holiday houses and caravan parks at the lockdown stage. My argument is that the regions have dynamic demographics and fluid populations, they cannot be ignored or squashed. The medicos are now talking about second and third rounds of the virus which is exactly where I started (as an historian of bubonic plague). Now NSW is to offer on-request testing in all parts of the State if possible.


On 25 May this email was sent to Ministers in the Morrison Government:


  • Nev and his fertiliser plan and gas pipelines are not “within the next few months” and are to be referred to a reformed iA.  (That he has backed off is a direct consequence of my stolen ideas.)


  • NCCC is not to duplicate work and it is, repair has been written out and NCCC has failed already to be independent enough to “repair”.


  • So here are three immediate ideas I have not shared with Nev and am passing on this platform for copyright reasons:


  1. Pressure put on families and institutions through Zoom needs 1) subsidies for download limits & costs, backdated, and 2) upgrades in homes and institutions
  2. Best integrated stimulus is $2 billion for van parks for road and drainage upgrades but not under wastrels McCormack or Barilaro: pavements, drains and GPTs - obvious, duh
  3. 3rd pensioner payment to take us to the US level (I forced the 2nd)


  • Can PM Morrison listen? Seems not. I wish he could.  He steals these and …, 


  • Nev is not experienced in these matters and has alienated me so far, not smart.


All three would put money into productive areas. Remote education is a long-term reality while the van parks would be delegated to owners under Council checks and the pensioner payment would flow straight into disposable income. 


The increase of $10,000 to $100,000 in working capital per recovering SME is demonstrated on page 11, and passenger incentives on page 7, of the "Australian Tourism Sector: Covid-19 Impacts and Stimulus Failures" booklet (see download).


Local Government has been bashed and battered into insensibility in all States - that is a critical gap in genuine revitalisation.


Mr Power has already had a remedy for NCCC’s skills gap, my offer to write a manual for regional revitalisation based on three exemplary planning exercises I conducted in Newcastle, the Blue Mountains and Rockdale, as well as in three places in Victoria, as well as "Creative Reconstruction of NSW Local Governance" and "ReviveBlueMountains".


He did not respond to that or any other communication ab initio.

NCCC is important, so why is it such a mess?

This page deals with the lamentable NCCC crisis

First, the Missing Links, the blunders, the context.

The Risk Matrix is a download, free but copyrighted.  There is a rather strange political readjustment of NCCC's underpants at the bottom.  This shows up the Risks nicely.

The 2nd part is a rebuttal of Nev's Canberra Times profile, because NCCC is within The Bubble.

Index to the Booklet

Index 2 (png)

Download

The Booklet

How much does PM Morrison know about Tourism?

The booklet is 17 pages of tight logic and a bias towards genuine recovery, not politics.


I argue that as the PM was responsible for the 2-month delay that cost 1.4 million jobs, he should not be mean and nasty towards his victims, including the 200,000 charity works who might well soon be hibernated in Siberia.


The illustration shows key factors if you look at Stimulus from the SME viewpoint - which is what I do and Journos and pollies don't.


It is time to stop sloganeering, deceit, unfairness, plagiarism, political favouritism and the domination of foreign corporates over our communities.

NCCC cannot achieve expectations under its current terms

The Bubble repels logic and "repair".


The National COVID-19 Coordination Commission is a vital part of the national response to the novel Corona pandemic.


As constituted, it whitewashes the perverse legacies of recent and current governmental deceits and malice, including

  • NSW's disastrous "debt lake" and engineering mistakes, making for Dam Buster-like impacts on productivity (including congestion and the sapping of Education and Health budgets)
  • political appointments and fused politician/public servant making for following catastrophes ~
  • repeated public scandals - bushfires, rorts (escalating fast) and failure of the "dinner" setting of the third of the current Stimulus tranches, together with widely-protested cruelty to casuals who have had the added injury of depleted superannuation accounts just for sustenance 
  • Western Sydney City Deal which sterilises major port, freight, commuting and east/west employment rebalancing necessities
  • iA's capture including the monopolistic Calfas Panel
  • Reliance on hyperbole re fast trains, value capture, congestion, stimulus through infrastructure, and "gifting" of off-Budget cronyism
  • Vile grand larceny of this analyst's Intellectual Property.


Already NCCC has shown it is continuing the self-censorship and crony attitudes of its parent Department and its Head, Philip Gaetjens, who helped then Premier Baird to dismantle due diligence in NSW, rejected "budget repair" (ironically a legacy of his former boss, Peter Costello), and extended the entanglement of NSW projects which are the product of "Bairdijiklian Malenomics", are destructive, debt-based and destructive of communities (especially through fully-subsidised MTR  densification)*.


All of these elements are documented in the "Save Sydney" suite of websites and normal and social media communications.  Specifically, all parties were clearly advised of the terms of commentary and none objected.


In light of plagiarism, the precaution was taken to widely circulate the following new ideas which relate to various NCCC ToRs (in copyrighted form):


  • Nev and his fertiliser plan and gas pipelines are not “within the next few months” and are to be referred to a reformed iA.

    NCCC is not to duplicate work and it is, repair has been written out and NCCC has failed already to be independent enough to “repair”.
    So here are three immediate ideas I have not shared with Nev and am passing on this platform for copyright reasons:

  1. Pressure put on families and institutions through Zoom needs 1) subsidies for download limits & costs, backdated, and 2) upgrades in homes and institutions
  2. Best integrated stimulus is $2 billion for van parks for road and drainage upgrades but not under wastrels McCormack or Barilaro: pavements, drains and GPTs - obvious, duh
  3. 3rd pensioner payment to take us towards US level (I forced the 2nd)


The Canberra Times published a profile of Nev Power.  Comments on the elements will follow.


Can PM Morrison listen? Seems not. I wish he could.  That NCCC reports to him, with the many inherent conflicts over energy, transport, social welfare Vs cruelty, and international/inter-jurisdictional policies and behaviours, is a serious concern as seen in the following charts - which are discussion starters.


* Controversy over Victoria's "Belt and Road" moves fade into  insignificance compared with Berejiklian's.

.

It's up to Nev to persuade the PM to be proper & righteous

Nev Power's maneuverings

Which way is the wind blowing?

After all the leaks about Narrabri and Twiggy's gas pipeline, Perry  Williams nailed this in The Australian on 4 June (I have emailed him about permissions etc but this is urgent - and it's fine work) - NB I'd like to "stretch" the Government over a barrel over this mess which is harming Australia and betraying the legacies of great past Heroes:


National COVID-19 Coordination Commission chair Nev Power said a leaked report pushing for the government to subsidise cheap gas to turbocharge manufacturing did not reflect the views of the Commission, but it remains open to public ownership of new pipelines.


A NCCC manufacturing taskforce chaired by former Dow boss Andrew Liveris recommended the federal government guarantee gas volumes, open new fields and build pipelines to halve the price of the fossil fuel to a $4 a gigajoule target.


“The leaked report doesn’t reflect the views of the Commission,” Mr Power told the Senate’s COVID-19 Committee.


“It was an interim report and I can’t recall whether we’d seen it at all or whether it was in very early draft or presentation when we saw it.”


A final report has now been submitted to the government and while wide-scale subsidies are not being considered, the Commission does support government backing for gas infrastructure such as pipelines.


“The Commission is not recommending any subsidised delivery of gas or any other energy system. But we have talked about the provision of infrastructure to reduce the cost of transportation and deliver lower cost.”


The NCCC was also quizzed over its support for Santos’ $3.6bn controversial Narrabri coal seam gas project in NSW which is awaiting approvals from state planning authorities.


“I think it was included in the report. I can’t remember the details around that. It was one of a number of projects mentioned in the report,” Mr Power said.


“The predominant focus was on infrastructure to reduce the cost of transportation as opposed to supply, but there was a wide range of sources that were canvassed in that. That included infrastructure which could have dual purpose for providing transportation of gas into the network generally and specific projects.”


The draft proposals recommending $4 gas have sparked a battle between users and producers who remain at odds over the feasibility of delivering supplies at much cheaper rates than currently in the market.


Backlash


The backlash on the feasibility of cheaper gas prices on Australia’s east coast from producers including Shell, Origin Energy and Santos had been noted by the NCCC.


“It’d be fair to say there are a number of gas companies that don’t believe it’s a good thing and probably would not benefit from it and they’ve been quite strident in saying that the sorts of gas prices we’re setting as targets are not achievable,” Mr Power told the Senate’s COVID-19 Committee.


“I think if nothing else we’ve created a very robust debate across the industry with the objective of trying to identify opportunities to reduce the gas price and benefit everybody in the short term and also provide the foundation to expand and develop manufacturing industries that rely on gas as a raw material.”


The NCCC said it was important to set strong “stretch targets” for more affordable gas.


“The benefits of lower gas prices to me are very broad. There are some people that probably see that as unachievable but I believe we should be setting strong stretch targets that are going to benefit the Australian households and businesses broadly.”


NB  This topic  is outside the NCCC's terms of reference of "in the next few months" and stimulus per se.  iA has a role and it needs to be booted into a professional mode as its Priority List is blaumange.


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